Tax Policy Center 2016 Election Blog

Analysis
December 8th, 2015

An Analysis of Governor Bush’s Tax Plan

Tax Policy Center
December 8th, 2015

This paper analyzes presidential candidate Jeb Bush’s tax proposal. It would reduce individual and business marginal tax rates, curtail tax expenditures, and convert the corporate income tax into a cash-flow consumption tax. The proposal would cut taxes at all income levels, reducing federal revenues by $6.8 trillion over its first decade before considering macro feedbacks.

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TaxVox
December 8th, 2015

How the Tax Policy Center Analyzes Presidential Candidates’ Tax Plans

Len Burman
December 8th, 2015

Since 2004, the Urban Brookings Tax Policy Center has been analyzing the tax plans of presidential candidates. We are doing the same for the 2016 hopefuls, giving prospective voters our best estimates of the revenue, economic, and distributional effects of candidates’ tax proposals.

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TaxVox
May 9th, 2016

Sanders’s Domestic Program Would Help Most Households, But Add More Than $18 Trillion to the Debt

Howard Gleckman
May 9th, 2016

Most American families would receive new government benefits that would exceed their higher taxes under the domestic policy agenda of Democratic Presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders. But even though Sanders would raise taxes on nearly all households by a total of more than $15 trillion over the next decade

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TaxVox
April 15th, 2016

The Best—And Worst—Tax Ideas of the 2016 Presidential Campaign

Howard Gleckman
April 15th, 2016

It is only April and we have heard presidential candidates propose some of the biggest and most ambitious tax plans in modern US history. Donald Trump is proposing the largest tax cut ever, and Ted Cruz is not far behind. Bernie Sanders has proposed the biggest tax increase since World War II.

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Research
April 14th, 2016

Comparison of TPC and Pollin, Heintz & Herndon Revenue Estimates for Bernie Sanders’s Financial Transaction Tax

James Nunns
April 14th, 2016

Presidential candidate Bernie Sander proposed a financial transaction tax to finance universal access to higher education. TPC estimated that it would raise $52 billion in its first year while Pollin, Heintz and Herndon estimated it would raise $300 billion.

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TaxVox
March 23rd, 2016

Paul Ryan and The “Ridiculous Notion” of Tax Distribution

Howard Gleckman
March 23rd, 2016

Last week, House Speaker Paul Ryan said in a CNBC interview that the distributional analysis of tax plans done by the Tax Policy Center, the Joint Committee on Taxation, and others is based on the “ridiculous notion” that the effect of tax changes on different income groups is important.

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TaxVox
March 17th, 2016

Taxes on the Rich May Change a Lot in 2017

William G. Gale
March 17th, 2016

It’s good to be rich. Depending on who becomes the next president, it could get a lot better or a lot worse. Thanks to our colleagues at the Tax Policy Center, we have a clearer picture of how the tax code would look if different presidential candidates win the election and convince Congress to enact their plan. The Democratic candidates would increase revenue and make the system more progressive; the Republicans would cut revenue and make the system more regressive. These differences are especially stark for very high-income households.

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TaxVox
March 11th, 2016

The Challenges of Modeling Presidential Tax Plans

Howard Gleckman
March 11th, 2016

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget sponsored a fascinating discussion yesterday on estimating presidential candidate tax plans. My Tax Policy Center colleague Len Burman, Kyle Pomerleau of the Tax Foundation, and Bob McIntyre of Citizens for Tax Justice made one thing clear: Modeling these plans is a bit like playing three-dimensional chess.

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TaxVox
March 8th, 2016

Clinton and Sanders Take Two Different Paths to Taxing the Rich

Howard Gleckman
March 8th, 2016

Let’s say you’re a Democrat who wants to raise taxes on rich people. It turns out there are two very different ways to do it: The direct, simple, in-your-face Bernie Sanders version and the indirect, complicated, back-door Hillary Clinton model.

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The Tax Policy Center provides independent, non-partisan analysis of the tax proposals of candidates for public office. We describe our approach here.